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Soviet spacecraft Kosmos-482 more likely to fall to Earth this weekend : NPR

May 10, 2025
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Soviet spacecraft Kosmos-482 more likely to fall to Earth this weekend : NPR
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View of the earth photographed from the Apollo 11 spacecraft as it approached the earth on its return from the moon on July 24, 1969.

View of the earth photographed from the Apollo 11 spacecraft because it approached the earth on its return from the moon on July 24, 1969.

NASA/AFP through Getty Pictures)


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NASA/AFP through Getty Pictures)

On March 31, 1972, the Soviet Union launched a spacecraft as a part of a sequence of unmanned missions to Venus often known as the Venera program. However the spacecraft by no means made it to Venus. As an alternative, the capsule — dubbed Kosmos-482 — started spiraling again in the direction of Earth. Researchers now say it is anticipated to land someplace on the planet this weekend.

Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer with the Heart for Astrophysics | Harvard & Smithsonian, says the rationale Kosmos-482 has been caught in Earth’s orbit has to do with a malfunction of its closing rocket stage.

“Midway by way of the rocket firing, the engines kind of spluttered and died,” McDowell stated. “And so it wasn’t getting quick sufficient to achieve escape velocity. And so it ended up in a giant elliptical orbit across the Earth.”

McDowell says it is exhausting to foretell the place precisely on the planet the capsule will land, because it’s flying across the planet at a pace of round 17,000 miles per hour.

Scientists are debating whether data from the James Webb Space Telescope is really pointing to biosignature gases in the atmosphere of planet K2-18b.

“I think about by late Friday, early Saturday, we would have the re-entry time narrowed all the way down to possibly just a few hours,” McDowell stated. “However just a few hours remains to be twice across the earth. And so we in all probability will not know the place till after the occasion.

“McDowell says it is not clear whether or not or not the capsule will disintegrate within the Earth’s ambiance. When it was launched, it was outfitted with a warmth defend that was designed to resist the almost 900 diploma Fahrenheit temperatures of Venus.

“For those who can survive Venus, you possibly can completely survive Earth,” McDowell stated. “Alternatively, it has been in orbit for 50 years. I do not actually know whether or not publicity to the outer ambiance has form of cracked the defend or degraded it indirectly.

“Even when Kosmos-482 does survive reentry into Earth’s ambiance, McDowell says that given the truth that the planet’s floor is 70% ocean, the half-ton capsule will most certainly land within the water.

McDowell provides that there is a chance it is going to cross shut sufficient to civilization to permit folks to get spectacular pictures of the spacecraft blazing by way of the sky like a comet.

This story was edited for radio by Adam Bearne and produced by Lindsay Totty.



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