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Proof mounts that darkish vitality weakens over time

November 6, 2025
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Proof mounts that darkish vitality weakens over time
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Universe's expansion 'is now slowing, not speeding up'
DESI is a state-of-the-art instrument which maps distant objects to review darkish vitality. Credit score: Marilyn Sargent/Berkeley Lab

The universe’s growth may very well have began to gradual slightly than accelerating at an ever-increasing fee as beforehand thought, a brand new research suggests.

“Exceptional” findings published right now in Month-to-month Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society solid doubt on the long-standing principle {that a} mysterious drive referred to as ‘darkish vitality’ is driving distant galaxies away more and more sooner.

As an alternative, they present no proof of an accelerating universe.

If the outcomes are confirmed, it might open a wholly new chapter in scientists’ quest to uncover the true nature of darkish vitality, resolve the ‘Hubble stress,’ and perceive the previous and way forward for the universe.

Lead researcher Professor Younger-Wook Lee, of Yonsei College in South Korea, mentioned, “Our research reveals that the universe has already entered a section of decelerated growth at the moment epoch and that darkish vitality evolves with time way more quickly than beforehand thought.

“If these outcomes are confirmed, it might mark a significant paradigm shift in cosmology because the discovery of darkish vitality 27 years in the past.”

For the previous three a long time, astronomers have extensively believed that the universe is increasing at an ever-increasing fee, pushed by an unseen phenomenon known as darkish vitality that acts as a sort of anti-gravity.

This conclusion, based mostly on distance measurements to faraway galaxies utilizing sort Ia supernovae, earned the 2011 Nobel Prize in Physics.

Nevertheless, a staff of astronomers at Yonsei College have now put ahead new proof that sort Ia supernovae, lengthy thought to be the universe’s “customary candles,” are in actual fact strongly affected by the age of their progenitor stars.

Even after luminosity standardization, supernovae from youthful stellar populations seem systematically fainter, whereas these from older populations seem brighter.

Based mostly on a a lot bigger host-galaxy pattern of 300 galaxies, the brand new research confirmed this impact at extraordinarily excessive significance (99.999% confidence), suggesting that the dimming of distant supernovae arises not solely from cosmological results but additionally from stellar astrophysics results.

When this systematic bias was corrected, the supernova knowledge not matched the usual ΛCDM cosmological mannequin with a cosmological fixed, researchers mentioned.

Universe's expansion 'is now slowing, not speeding up'
The Hubble residual diagram earlier than (prime) and after (backside) the age-bias correction. Corrections are utilized to supernova knowledge from the Darkish Power Survey challenge. After correction, the dataset not helps the ΛCDM mannequin (crimson line) with a cosmological fixed, however as an alternative extra carefully matches with a time-varying darkish vitality mannequin favoured by a mixed evaluation utilizing solely baryonic acoustic oscillations and cosmic microwave background knowledge (blue line). Credit score: Month-to-month Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (2025). DOI:10.1093/mnras/staf1685

As an alternative, it aligned much better with a brand new mannequin favored by the Darkish Power Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) challenge, derived from baryonic acoustic oscillations (BAO)—successfully the sound of the Massive Bang—and cosmic microwave background (CMB) knowledge.

The corrected supernova knowledge and the BAO+CMB-only outcomes each point out that darkish vitality weakens and evolves considerably with time.

Extra importantly, when the corrected supernova knowledge had been mixed with BAO and CMB outcomes, the usual ΛCDM mannequin was dominated out with overwhelming significance, the researchers mentioned.

Most shocking of all, this mixed evaluation signifies that the universe shouldn’t be accelerating right now as beforehand thought, however has already transitioned right into a state of decelerated growth.

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Professor Lee added, “Within the DESI challenge, the important thing outcomes had been obtained by combining uncorrected supernova knowledge with baryonic acoustic oscillations measurements, resulting in the conclusion that whereas the universe will decelerate sooner or later, it’s nonetheless accelerating at current.

“Against this, our evaluation—which applies the age-bias correction—reveals that the universe has already entered a decelerating section right now. Remarkably, this agrees with what’s independently predicted from BAO-only or BAO+CMB analyses, although this reality has acquired little consideration to this point.”

To additional affirm their outcomes, the Yonsei staff at the moment are finishing up an “evolution-free take a look at,” which makes use of solely supernovae from younger, coeval host galaxies throughout the total redshift vary. The primary outcomes already assist their major conclusion.

“Throughout the subsequent 5 years, with the Vera C. Rubin Observatory discovering greater than 20,000 new supernova host galaxies, exact age measurements will enable for a much more strong and definitive take a look at of supernova cosmology,” mentioned analysis professor Chul Chung, a co-lead on the research together with Ph.D. candidate Junhyuk Son.

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory, which sits on a mountain within the Chilean Andes, is residence to the world’s strongest digital digicam. It started scientific operations this 12 months and will reply very important questions on our personal photo voltaic system and the broader universe.

After the Massive Bang and the fast growth of the universe some 13.8 billion years in the past, gravity slowed it down. However in 1998, it was established that 9 billion years after the universe started, its growth had began to hurry up once more, pushed by a mysterious drive.

Astronomers dubbed this darkish vitality, however regardless of it making up about 70% of the universe, it’s nonetheless thought of to be one of many best mysteries in science.

Final 12 months, knowledge from DESI in Tucson, Arizona steered that the drive exerted by darkish vitality had modified over time, proof for which has been rising ever since.

The hope is that with these new instruments of their arsenal, astronomers will now be higher outfitted to seek out clues about what precisely darkish vitality is and the way it influences the universe.

Extra data:
Junhyuk Son et al, Robust Progenitor Age-bias in Supernova Cosmology. II. Alignment with DESI BAO and Indicators of a Non-Accelerating Universe, Month-to-month Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (2025). DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staf1685

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Universe’s growth ‘is now slowing, not dashing up’: Proof mounts that darkish vitality weakens over time (2025, November 5)
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