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Home Astronomy

Will We Ever Make it to Mars?

September 21, 2025
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Will We Ever Make it to Mars?
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You understand, for those who take away the dearth of air and water, the weaker Solar, the decrease gravity, and the poisonous soil, Mars isn’t all that unhealthy of a spot to dwell. And there are actually worse locations to dwell, like, I don’t know, Ohio (I’m allowed to say that as a result of I grew up there). However there’s been a giant push previously twenty years to not simply go to Mars and go to, like we did with the Moon fifty years in the past, however to remain there. Put down roots. Set up ourselves. Construct a colony or a settlement.

We’ve bought the Mars Basis, we’ve bought Occupy Mars, we’ve bought Mars One. All of them suggest grand plans to construct a human settlement, a metropolis, on the Crimson Planet inside the subsequent technology.

I’m going to present it to you straight, as a result of for those who’re watching this present then I guess you’re the sort of individual that appreciates a no-nonsense method.

We’re not going to Mars anytime quickly.

I do know there are some…bulletins…floating round on the market, and on the time of this recording WHO KNOWS what the present administration will suggest, that say that we must always go to Mars in 2026 or 2029. I can inform you with utmost confidence that the folks throwing out these dates aren’t doing it as a result of they’ve a effectively thought-out plan of technological enchancment to make these cheap targets.

They’re doing it as a result of these are the subsequent open launch home windows. That’s it. Let’s go to Mars in 2026…as a result of that’s the subsequent time we will go to Mars. It’s like saying “hey everybody I’ve a plan: we must always all go to Barbados at 7:19 tomorrow morning”…as a result of that’s when the subsequent flight is leaving, not since you’ve truly developed a plan to go to Barbados. And even have the cash. Or a swimsuit.

However whereas we could be pessimistic in regards to the quick time period, we will nonetheless be optimistic in regards to the far future. There isn’t any regulation of physics that makes a Martian settlement inconceivable. Positive, will probably be maybe the hardest engineering problem EVER, but it surely’s not IMPOSSIBLE – and that’s a giant distinction.

So let’s dive into what a Martian metropolis may truly appear to be and the way we would have the ability to construct one. However first, we have to discuss how a metropolis on Mars might be utterly not like something now we have on Earth.

As a result of it’s Mars.

Let’s begin with the uncooked numbers. The common temperature on Mars is minus 63 levels Celsius, or -80 Fahrenheit. Whereas it might get hotter than that, as much as one thing approximating room temperature within the low-lying valleys in the course of the summer season months, it might additionally get a lot colder than that, all the way down to -153 Celsius or -225 Fahrenheit.

Bear in mind, Mars is a planet chilly sufficient to freeze not simply water, but additionally carbon dioxide.

So primary, any human settlement goes to must grapple with excessive, bitter, year-round chilly. Even probably the most distant and excessive locations on Earth, just like the South Pole, don’t attain temperatures that low.

And the South Pole has the benefit of you understand, having air to breathe, which Mars lacks. The air stress on Mars is lower than 1% of the air stress on Earth at sea stage. And what air is DOES have is usually carbon dioxide, which is nice information…for those who’re a plant.

Now it’s not that difficult to construct a pressurized vessel to keep up an everyday, breathable environment towards what is actually a vacuum. The Worldwide Area Station does it on a regular basis, and it’s fairly huge…and it’s additionally designed to carry no various folks at anybody time. And it’s proper there in Earth orbit, making resupply and – if wanted – evacuation comparatively easy, at the least as easy as something goes in house.

However Mars isn’t shut. The common distance to Mars is 140 million miles, or 225 million kilometers. With chemical rockets, a journey there takes MONTHS. Simply give it some thought: ordinary crew rotations for the house station are round that very same size of time. And the Apollo missions to the Moon had been a lot, a lot shorter. So a typical astronaut keep at resort ISS is roughly equal to JUST THE JOURNEY TO MARS, not together with truly, you understand, being there and coming again house.

And even then, now we have to attend for a launch window to open up when the Earth and Mars are on the identical facet of the photo voltaic system, which occurs roughly each two years.

Sorry Mark Watney, however rescue shouldn’t be going to be an choice. Neither is resupply. If one thing goes fallacious or the settlers runs out of some important element or ingredient…that’s it. They’re going to must determine it out on their very own.

Including to their day by day complications might be a relentless publicity to cosmic rays. That is lethal radiation coming in from deep house, from exploding stars and black holes and whatnot. On Earth our environment does a beautiful job of absorbing most cosmic rays, however even then they’re in a position to slip by means of to the floor. You’re struck by a cosmic ray about as soon as each second, and these cosmic rays contribute to someplace between 1-3% of all incidents of most cancers.

Mars has no environment. Which suggests the Martian floor will get lots of radiation. And simply easy steel shielding isn’t going to chop it. That’s as a result of a cosmic ray can simply strike the steel and create a bathe of subatomic particles inside the shelter. You want lots of stuff – rock, water, fuel, no matter – between you and the damaging sky.

Talking of rocks, yeah they’re poisonous. And never like social media persona poisonous, I imply truly poisonous. Toxic. Harmful to the touch, breathe, ingest, or in any other case be round. The soil is stuffed with perchlorates, which is usually used as an ingredient in rocket gas. Any meals that’s grown on Mars must use handled soil, which is able to use who is aware of how a lot water.

Oh, that’s proper, water. Sure, there’s water on Mars, but it surely’s virtually fully frozen. There is likely to be some liquid pockets buried deep underneath the polar ice caps, which isn’t something remotely resembling accessible, so we’ll simply have to go away these be. The remainder of the frozen water is buried underground, which suggests…mining. Lots of digging up dust, heating it, sorting it, and separating the water.

Mining itself goes to be an enormous drawback for any long-term habitation. On the Earth we’re used to simply discovering ore veins and taking a whack at it. I imply I suppose the precise technique of mining is extra difficult than that however I’ve performed lots of Minecraft so I really feel like I perceive the essential gist. On Mars, this isn’t fairly really easy. With out plate tectonics to combine up the crust, we do not know if there are wealthy concentrations of metals, which implies that something heavy must be shipped in from Earth.

And we have to discuss in regards to the mud. Martian sand. It’s course and tough and worsening and it will get all over the place. No, wait, truly it’s reverse. It’s been blowing round Mars for billions of years, and that fixed movement has floor the mud grains down into virtually completely clean, virtually microscopic bits. And when mud storms kick off, they will actually encircle your complete globe.

In 2018 simply such a worldwide mud storm killed NASA’s Alternative rover. The storm blocked out the Solar for therefore lengthy that the rover couldn’t get sufficient juice from its photo voltaic panels, and it went quiet. Any future settlers will probably have to rely at the least partially on solar energy, which suggests they are going to be in a relentless combat with the mud beginning at day 1.

Like I stated, we’re not going to Mars anytime quickly, as a result of we haven’t solved…let me test my notes…ah, that’s proper, ANY OF THESE PROBLEMS. And we’re not going to unravel them in just some years.

However that doesn’t imply we will’t make progress.



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