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Is the enlargement of the universe slowing down?

November 6, 2025
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Is the enlargement of the universe slowing down?
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The Tycho supernova remnant

NASA/CXC/RIKEN & GSFC/T. Sato et al; DSS

It’s broadly thought that our universe is increasing at an ever-accelerating fee. However might we’ve that flawed? That’s what a bunch of scientists from South Korea claims, however different scientists have main considerations concerning the work.

Our universe has been increasing because the huge bang 13.8 billion years in the past. A number of strands of proof, together with observations of distant dying stars known as kind Ia supernovae, have recommended that this enlargement is accelerating. One of many primary explanations for the driving force of this acceleration is a mysterious pressure known as darkish vitality, the invention of which received the 2011 Nobel prize in physics.

Young-Wook Lee at Yonsei College in South Korea and his colleagues now say this is likely to be flawed. Sort Ia supernovae are prompted when the remnant core of a star like our solar, often known as a white dwarf, explodes in a binary system. Astronomers use these “customary candles” as reliable measurements of distance throughout the cosmos as a result of they’re considered uniformally shiny.

However Lee and his crew say the brightness varies strongly with the age of the celebrities, primarily based on their evaluation of 300 host galaxies. They counsel this ends in distant supernovae that seem fainter due to the accelerated enlargement of the universe, however, as soon as this “age bias” is taken under consideration, the accelerated enlargement of the universe disappears.

As a substitute, Lee says their findings counsel the enlargement of the universe started decelerating 1.5 billion years in the past, and will even reverse sooner or later, a state of affairs known as the “huge crunch” by which the universe might finish in a reverse huge bang. Beforehand, he says, “an enormous crunch was out of the query. However now it’s a chance.”

Adam Riess on the House Telescope Science Institute in Maryland, one of many recipients of the 2011 Nobel prize in physics, disagrees with that declare, pointing to earlier work by the group in 2020 that had been refuted. “The identical group’s new work repeats the argument with little change,” he says, noting that making measurements of stellar ages for kind Ia supernovae at giant distances could be very tough. He says Lee’s crew used a imply stellar age derived from the host galaxy. “The idea behind that is weak due to a scarcity of certainty about how the [star] varieties,” says Riess.

There are identified points with how age impacts the brightness of kind Ia supernovae throughout the universe, says Mark Sullivan on the College of Southampton, UK, however these are already accounted for in measurements of darkish vitality. “I’m very sceptical it will result in a decelerating universe,” he says.

Upcoming observations with the Vera C. Rubin Observatory in Chile are anticipated to tremendously broaden the variety of identified kind Ia supernovae within the universe, from the hundreds catalogued at present to tens of hundreds. That can enable us to “map the enlargement historical past” of the universe a lot additional again in time, says Sullivan, doubtlessly ruling out the claims from Lee’s crew.

The precise nature of darkish vitality, nevertheless, stays mysterious. Earlier this yr, outcomes from the Darkish Power Spectroscopic Instrument survey indicated that darkish vitality may not be a continuing pressure, however might range over time. Whereas that wouldn’t imply the universe was decelerating proper now, it’d counsel that the enlargement fee has modified over the historical past of the universe.

“The needle is pointing much more to darkish vitality being some type of dynamical factor, not a cosmological fixed,” says Ed Macaulay at Queen Mary College of London. “Precisely what that’s, I feel, is a very attention-grabbing query.”

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