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New Radar Information Dries Up Hope For Subsurface Liquid Water On Mars

December 2, 2025
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New Radar Information Dries Up Hope For Subsurface Liquid Water On Mars
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Keep in mind again in 2018 when there was a discovery of a briny “lake” underground close to the Martian south pole? Pepperidge Farm most likely does, and anybody that works there that’s taken with house exploration might be disenchanted to listen to that, no matter may be inflicting the radar sign that discovering was primarily based on, it’s probably not a lake. At the very least based on new information collected by the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) and revealed not too long ago in Geophysical Analysis Letters by lead writer Gareth Morgan of the Planetary Science Institute and his colleagues.

Again in 2018, the Mars Superior Radar for Subsurface and Ionosphere Sounding (MARSIS) instrument on the Mars Specific orbiter discovered an fascinating sign. Beneath the ice sheet on the south pole, it noticed one thing very reflective in its radar frequencies (between 1.8-5 MHz). The investigators on that instrument noticed this as an indication of potential liquid water beneath the floor of Mars, as that greatest matched the sign they have been seeing, and thereby set off a firestorm of hypothesis about how such an underwater lake might exist.

There have been different orbiters round Mars on the time, together with MRO. Nonetheless, strive because the mission operators may, they couldn’t get a transparent sign beneath the ice caps with SHARAD, the shallow radar instrument onboard the mission. That’s doubtless as a result of it operated at a a lot greater frequency than MARSIS. That greater frequency, between 15-25 MHz, presents higher decision, however has bother penetrating farther into the bottom, particularly when that floor is primarily composed of water ice.

Fraser discusses how liquid water can disguise on Mars.

However, after 20 years in service, we not too long ago reported on a large enchancment to MRO’s radar functionality. SHARAD had been designed to journey on the “again” of the orbiter, putting the orbiter’s metallic physique in between it and the planet it was making an attempt to survey. This attenuated the sign it SHARAD was in a position to ship and obtain by as a lot at 10 dB – a large quantity given the exponential nature of electromagnetic energy scaling.

Again in June, we reported on the primary profitable “Very Giant Roll” (VLR) made by MRO to show SHARAD towards the floor, eliminating the interference brought on by the spacecraft’s physique. This maneuver, which entails turning the spacecraft 120° on its axis, was thought-about too harmful for a lot of the mission, however now that MRO has moved into its prolonged mission part, the mission operators thought it was time to strive one thing a bit of extra dangerous.

Seems their elevated danger tolerance paid off. SHARAD now had a a lot clearer take a look at the sub-surface within the south polar area just a few months after the primary VLR. However what it discovered was disappointing – it didn’t see any vibrant reflection, although it might scan as much as 1.5km extra of the ice than it had been in a position to on earlier passes. That lack of sign is a really robust indication that, probably, there isn’t liquid water positioned on the website.

Video of MRO performing a VLR. Credit score – SciTech Each day YouTube Channel

One of many key findings of the 2018 MARSIS information was the reflection beneath the floor was considerably greater than that on the floor, indicating that it was fabricated from a “brighter” materials in radar frequencies – usually that’s a characteristic attributable to liquid water. Nonetheless, SHARAD discovered solely a sign from the beneath the floor about .1% as robust as that on high of it.

To tease out why there could be such a giant discrepancy, the MRO engineers examined two theories. First, might the ice have nonetheless absorbed the high-frequency alerts from SHARAD, not truly permitting it to get a legitimate sign from low sufficient to have the ability to detect the liquid water? When testing the “loss” of sign across the supposed “lake” in comparison with different close by surfaces, they couldn’t discover something to trigger such excessive attenuation that may restrict their capacity to see the place the liquid water was.

The opposite concept, and the one which the researchers discovered essentially the most believable, was that the lake was truly a patch of unusually clean dry rock – similar to a crater ground full of sediment. MARSIS would have seen that as one thing akin to a mirror, with many of the radar sign being mirrored again, whereas SHARAD wouldn’t have – accounting for the considerably lowered sign energy.

This additionally isn’t the primary piece of proof that the Martian “lake” may be illusory. Critics of the idea identified that, to ensure that liquid water to exist there, there would both must be an excessive quantity of geothermal warmth, or an absurd quantity of salt within the water – neither of which appeared doubtless. One other research identified that frozen clay supplies, which do include water, however aren’t liquid, may be vibrant sufficient to breed the MARSIS sign energy by themselves.

For now, this new SHARAD discovering, enabled by the dramatic roll to boost its sign, appears to place the nail within the coffin of the idea of an underground lake on Mars. However there’s nonetheless extra areas of the planet the MRO operators hope to discover with their newfound improved radar functionality. Subsequent on the checklist is to seek for ice close to the Martian equator – in the event that they discover it there, it might considerably enhance the enchantment of that a lot hotter space for preliminary human exploration. Possibly Pepperidge Farm will sometime keep in mind when a spunky 20 yr outdated orbiter discovered the primary ever ice deposits exploited by people on Mars on the equator.

Study Extra:

NASA / JPL – NASA Orbiter Shines New Light on Long-Running Martian Mystery

G. A. Morgan et al. – High Frequency Radar Perspective of Putative Subglacial Liquid Water on Mars

UT – Reorienting MRO Massively Will increase Its Subsurface Scanning Energy

UT – Martian Probe Rolls Over to See Subsurface Ice and Rock



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