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Does Free Will Exist? Half 1: The Clockwork Universe

January 7, 2026
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That is Half 1 in a collection on the physics of free will.

Verify this out. There are some experiments that simply make you…cease. That make you rethink every little thing you’ve ever recognized. The sort of experiment the place you simply have to step outdoors into the chilly air along with your favourite beer or sort of cheese or maybe each and simply state at nothing for some time.

And for me, a type of experiments was carried out by Benjamin Libet within the 1980’s. He wired individuals up and requested them to simply randomly flick their wrist every time they felt prefer it. Completely random, completely their selection. He was measuring one thing known as the “readiness potential,” which is a buildup {of electrical} alerts within the mind simply earlier than you begin shifting. It’s just like the mind gearing up for motion earlier than it sends the sign down the nerves to make the motion occur.

This was all well-known for a pair many years and all fantastic and a bit boring, however Libet added a twist. He had his topics watch a clock, and to notice the time on the clock after they first felt the acutely aware sensation to maneuver. In different phrases, he requested them to maintain observe of WHEN they determined to flick their wrists. Then he in contrast that to when the buildup of the readiness potential occurred…and it was later.

I’m not kidding. In accordance with all these measurements, the members determined to flick their wrist (within the sense that they had been consciously conscious of their random selection) 1/fifth of a second AFTER the mind had already begun the method of flicking the wrist.

Go step outdoors if it is advisable. I’ll be proper right here whenever you get again.

There isn’t a settled reply to this experiment. It might be that free will is an phantasm, and we simply THINK we’re making selections when actually our brains are following a pre-programmed script set down by the legal guidelines of physics. Or possibly the readiness potential is simply that – a READINESS that preps the mind to activate within the potential for motion, however doesn’t essentially at all times result in motion. Or…or possibly it’s one thing extra complicated.

There’s no settled reply to the whole query of free will. We’ve sort of been debating it for…let me see right here…yup, just about all of historical past. And possibly longer.

Now, I’m loads of issues. Cosmologist. Science communicator. Devoted husband and father or mother. Novice cheese fanatic. However I’m additionally not loads of issues. I’m not a neurologist. I’m not a psychologist. I’m not a thinker (though facet nitpick, PhD actually stands for philosophy physician, all scientists are robotically philosophers, only a specialised BRANCH of philosophy, so to make clear I’m a specialist WITHIN that department, and never an professional at different branches). What this implies is that in contrast to, I don’t know, supernova explosions or neutrino mass, I can’t provide you with a solution to this query. And I believe that I, as a physicist, can’t EVER provide you with a solution to this query. And you ought to be actually, actually cautious when anyone says that they DO have a solution, particularly if they begin their reply with “I’m a physicist.”

However what we CAN do is discover what physics has to say in regards to the topic. Which, whereas not arriving at a full reply, remains to be a LOT.

And the FIRST factor that physics says is that the universe is – ahem – causally deterministic, which is method stricter than casually deterministic. Causal determinism is a mouthful, however what it means is that physics works. Each impact has a trigger. A results in B results in C results in a star blowing up or some molecules folding right into a protein. And we’ve legal guidelines of physics to information us. Ever since Galileo began this system of making use of arithmetic to physics (and sure, I actually need to do a Galileo episode, and I believe I’ve been saying that for a pair years now), we’ve change into ever extra subtle in our means to a) describe pure processes with intelligent theories, and b) use these intelligent theories to foretell what the longer term will maintain.

The best articulation of this idea involves us from Pierre-Simon Laplace, the “newton of France” who was sensible sufficient to outlive each the French revolution and the rise AND fall of Napoleon, and within the meantime contribute to virtually each single space of science as a result of that’s simply what Laplace does.

Laplace requested us to think about a super-intelligent being, which immediately we name Laplace’s Demon as a result of that sounds sick as hell, that might take a snapshot of the place and momentum of each single particle within the universe. And from there, the Demon might apply Newton’s legal guidelines of movement to foretell each single act that may ever happen sooner or later. Right here’s a bit translated from his 1815 “Philosophical Essay on Chances”:

We might regard the current state of the universe because the impact of its previous and the reason for its future. An mind which at a sure second would know all forces that set nature in movement, and all positions of all objects of which nature consists, if this mind had been additionally huge sufficient to submit these knowledge to evaluation, it might embrace in a single formulation the actions of the best our bodies of the universe and people of the tiniest atom; for such an mind nothing could be unsure and the longer term identical to the previous might be current earlier than its eyes.

So yeah, the place’s the free will? There ain’t none. And even room for the divine. When Laplace as soon as introduced his work, Mecanique Celeste, to Napoleon, the emperor requested him why “he by no means even talked about its Creator” (that’s, God). Laplace’s response: “I had no want of that speculation.”

Dang dude, inform us how you actually really feel.



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