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Will NASA have the ability to return Mars samples to Earth? New audit raises doubts

March 2, 2024
in Astronomy
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Will NASA have the ability to return Mars samples to Earth? New audit raises doubts
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NASA’s daring plan to get pristine samples of Mars to Earth for evaluation is dealing with main challenges, in accordance with a brand new report.

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Design, price and scheduling are all important obstacles, an audit report of NASA’s Mars Pattern Return (MSR) Program by the company’s Workplace of Inspector Normal (OIG) finds.

MSR goals to return Martian geological samples to Earth for scientific examine. It includes touchdown on Mars to gather samples taken by the Perseverance rover and launching these samples to rendezvous with an orbiter, which can haul them to Earth. 

Associated: NASA’s Mars Pattern Return in jeopardy after US Senate questions funds

Perseverance is already on Mars, snagging and storing samples. However this system nonetheless must construct a Pattern Retrieval Lander (SRL) and an Earth Return Orbiter (ERO), the latter being developed and funded by the European Area Company (ESA). MSR is likely one of the most technically advanced, operationally demanding and impressive robotic science missions ever undertaken by NASA, in accordance with the OIG report.

The report notes design, structure and schedule points with the Seize Containment and Return System (CCRS). These design points resulted in including about $200 million to the funds and one yr of misplaced schedule.

One main space of concern is life-cycle price estimates for MSR. There may be concern that, because of the quantity and significance of price enhance indicators to date, the $7.4 billion estimate is “untimely and could also be inadequate,” the report finds. Now, the complexity of the MSR mission may drive prices to between $8 billion to $11 billion, the OIG report notes, citing a September 2023 Impartial Evaluation Board (IRB) report. Notably, a July 2020 estimate listed prices of $2.5 to $3 billion.

These new figures point out important monetary challenges and uncertainties within the MSR Program’s life-cycle prices. Points embody inflation, provide chain issues and will increase in funding requests for particular program elements.

The report additionally highlights the necessity for enhanced coordination between NASA and ESA. The OIG report affords suggestions to deal with these challenges. These embody making certain a steady CCRS design, incorporating program complexity into price and schedule estimates (relatively than focusing solely on exterior components), and reassessing giant mission pre-formulation steerage. 

In a bigger-picture advice, the OIG report requires NASA to “develop a corrective motion plan that comes with the teachings discovered and suggestions from the Giant Mission Research [completed in 2020] to enhance the steerage and practices for pre-formulation of enormous missions.”

NASA administration concurred or partially concurred in its responses to the report. 

a large mars rover sits in a sandy patch of red planet ground, with some of its tire tracks nearby.

NASA’s Perseverance Mars rover took this selfie wanting down at one among 10 pattern tubes deposited on the pattern depot it created in an space nicknamed Three Forks. This picture was taken by the WATSON digicam on the rover’s robotic arm on Jan. 20, 2023, the 684th Martian day, or sol, of the mission. (Picture credit score: NASA/JPL-Caltech/MSSS)

The MSR program has not too long ago come below political strain for its ever-expanding price estimates, including to doubt over the continuation of this system. NASA is at present reassessing the general MSR structure and its funds. The outcomes might be launched later this month.

NASA can be working below a seamless decision that freezes spending at 2023 budgetary limits till the spending for the brand new fiscal yr is agreed upon by Congress. This has seen NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California, the primary participant in MSR, to lay off employees, additional impacting this system.

MSR is, nevertheless, thought of a mission of main scientific significance by many planetary scientists. China, in the meantime, is working by itself mission, Tianwen-3, to gather samples from Mars, launching across the finish of the last decade.



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